Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 31.442497 35.820939 40.614404 46.255873 52.719326 59.899745 68.490897
2024-12-22 25.805458 31.607896 38.451068 47.133114 57.878993 70.774305 87.470914
2024-12-29 22.343709 29.213633 37.879099 49.650389 65.286383 85.429785 113.490472
2025-01-05 18.976276 26.356863 36.266012 50.613830 70.979623 99.034212 140.929305
2025-01-12 15.707895 23.077820 33.564957 49.685296 74.041934 109.789742 166.826945
2025-01-19 13.297756 20.597739 31.571123 49.423452 78.051711 122.698652 198.626292
2025-01-26 11.866873 19.338315 31.178079 51.526079 86.099100 143.307586 246.882757
2025-02-02 10.770972 18.421545 31.171477 54.267573 95.758071 168.463201 308.362990
2025-02-09 9.536510 17.063215 30.212179 55.239273 102.626864 190.303773 369.101338
2025-02-16 8.223325 15.343500 28.340207 54.248675 105.787672 206.156580 422.412758
2025-02-23 7.151383 13.884458 26.697743 53.393045 109.067826 222.961957 481.753741
2025-03-02 6.264190 12.629834 25.234077 52.624647 112.397818 240.607614 547.287078
2025-03-09 5.623704 11.785159 24.491643 53.329405 119.277426 267.853883 642.796151
2025-03-16 5.013223 10.899582 23.519219 53.375855 124.797155 293.513697 741.961186
2025-03-23 4.640089 10.463579 23.439806 55.441213 135.523346 333.930226 889.677830
2025-03-30 4.196424 9.792581 22.722501 55.881715 142.474889 366.934295 1027.873830
2025-04-06 3.690914 8.890352 21.314543 54.358609 144.156068 386.994148 1136.488726
2025-04-13 3.304111 8.207793 20.315462 53.684424 147.973505 413.804462 1273.270732
2025-04-20 3.098327 7.942242 20.309123 55.657998 159.627874 465.612432 1503.626926
2025-04-27 2.943093 7.780643 20.544303 58.363665 174.103006 529.562458 1794.641965
2025-05-04 2.722448 7.406578 20.149680 59.197901 183.222198 579.691821 2056.011817
2025-05-11 2.448684 6.839754 19.127379 57.966897 185.650073 609.294904 2254.799140
2025-05-18 2.213889 6.344022 18.222422 56.920490 188.487864 641.220585 2474.157802